Chapter 1

rson who is credibly going to win the Republican nomination is Romney because A. he has a lot of money B. he has big names championship him C. he seems more likely to grab free-living voters than anyone else hypertext transfer protocol://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-02-26/midwestern-goernors-predict-romney-as-republican-nominee.html in 2000: Florida*, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_swing_states,_2000 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_swing_states,_2004 The person who is belike going to win the Republican nomination is Mitt Romney. On average, Mr. Romney has 35 percent of the vote in an average of quaternity theme canvas completed since New Hampshire, giving him a 19-point hold up over Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum. Republican principal(a) Projections azimuth Mitt Romeny suffrage Projection : 42.5 % Chance Of supercharge : 89% Michigan Vote Projection : 39.9% Chance Of boost : 65% Ge orgia Vote Projection : 38.4% Chance Of reach : 79% Ohio : Vote Projection : 44.8% Chance Of Win : 91% okey : Vote Projection : 46.8% Chance Of Win : 96% Virginia : Vote Projection : 69.9% Chance Of Win : 92% In 13 of the 16 cases, the outlook leading in field polls after(prenominal) New Hampshire won his partys nomination.

In another case, the 1984 Democratic race, two outlooks Walter Mondale and Gary Hart were laced in national surveys at this point in the race, and Mr. Mondale emerged victorious. The lonesome(prenominal) cases where a candidate came from behind to win were in 1972, when Edmund S. Muskie had a nar row 2-point lead in the polls over Hubert H.! Humphrey, solely George McGovern, far covert in the polls, went on to win the race, and 2008, when Hillary Clinton had a 9-point lead over Barack Obama after New Hampshire but woolly-headed the nomination to him. bingle way to evaluate the data is through logistic fixing analysis, which gives an estimate of how likely a candidate was to win the nomination based on the size of his national polling lead after New...If you want to get a copious essay, order it on our website: BestEssayCheap.com

If you want to get a full essay, visit our page: cheap essay